Education-section Life Cycle Wealth 1000 Foot View
Life Cycle Wealth -1000 Foot View

Life Cycle Wealth is one of the cornerstone principals behind the thinking at Auxiliam. The offering focuses at individual investors or advisor’s to individual investors; it is the starting point to understand what one can achieve using this platform. Central to life-cycle wealth is the spreading of the income from one’s economically productive part of your life over your entire life. One can break downs the person’s life into three financial stages:

  • Stage one is the growing up and getting educated stage.
  • Stage two is the working part of a person’s life,
  • Stage three is retirement.

The central theme of life cycle wealth is to maximise your lifetime utility. This means you should spend your money when it gives you the most happiness. Save any extra money that would not increase your utility (happiness) at a specific point in time. This framework provides a structured guide to thinking about multiple life-cycle choices such as:

  • Savings
  • Consumption
  • Education
  • Human Capital
  • Labour Supply

The outcome of life-cycle wealth philosophy is the spreading of your income from one’s economically productive part of your life over your entire life, while maximising utility at each point of your life.

Effectively it helps you to optimal spread your consumption across your life, smoothing your expenditure. The smoothing will be high over the short term within a year, medium from year to year or within a business cycle and low across your life cycle. This smoothing of your consumption enables you to keep your marginal utility of money constant.
 

  • Traditional View on Asset Classes
  • Capital Assets
  • Consumable or Transformable
  • Store of Value Assets
  • Human Capital
  • Reference or Additional Material
Revisiting Marginal Utility

We have discussed the concept of utility and marginal utility from personal fiancé perspective in this article Maximise your lifetime utility.

In essence, the idea is the more you have of something, the less value it has to you. When you are hungry, the first slice of a pizza offers you much more value than the eight slice, your hunger has been satisfied by the six slice already. As we all know, left over pizza is delicious for breakfast the next morning when your hunger has reawakened.

Applying the principal of marginal utility, you would realise each additional dollar you spend at a specific point in time the value/return/happiness decreases. At certain times in your life your life you have a desperate need for money and in other times, you might have too much money. Think of an old person with a lot of savings, but no energy to enjoy it. He would be much better off if he could transfer some of that money to his/her younger self when they still had plenty of energy.

The logical conclusion which is slightly counter-intuitive, or shall we say not in line with traditional wisdom, is that you should not see borrowing and saving as negative or positive. Rather as only a transfer of spending across your lifetime. By borrowing, you are simply spending less in the future to spend more in the present. You should think of saving as spending less in the present to spend more in the future.

To convey the next point, we need to engage in a thought experiment. Assume you know exactly how much money you would make in your lifetime, from wages, to interest earned to inheritance, etc. Calculate your average lifetime income on a set time window, be it monthly.

The average you just calculated is the amount you should spend for each period of your life to maximise your lifetime utility. You are maximising your happiness, when the happiness generated by spending money is equal across your life. No periods of living in poverty, nor are there periods of excessive luxury.

After reading the article on utility, you should agree with the economic principle decreasing marginal utility. Specifically, around the spending pattern of money and impact on your utility. The logical conclusion of this thought experiment, spending the same amount of money in every time window of your life is what will make maximise your lifetime utility.
 

Example - Calculate your average life time spend

In terms of real estate liquidity risk is defined as the risk that arises when selling a property timely at a fair price. This risk balloons in times of weak real estate demand. These transactions take months to complete in a normal environment.

If it is a high-quality portfolio, the risk is less, especially if the leverage is low. Having low leverage provides the option of synthetic liquidity, by increasing the debt levels to generate cash. You can then use this cash as a bridge finance while they sell the property. This naturally brings other forms of risk.

 

Applying the principals

The thought experiment established the principal, you would agree implementing a principal in actual life normally has some friction. It is not optimal to spend exactly the same amount each day because of the practical nature of our consumption patterns and the different stages of your life. Rather, think of it as a band of spending around your average lifetime income across the various life-stages.
 
For the general man in the street, one can break downs the person’s life into three financial stages:

  • Stage one is the growing up and getting educated stage.
  • Stage two is the working part of a person’s life,
  • Stage three is retirement.

 
If your goal is to get as much as possible from life, maximise your lifetime utility, one optimal strategy would be to maintain the same level of consumption throughout your life. This could imply doing:

  • By taking on debt early in life when income is low – Borrow from future self
  • Increase savings in prime earning years when income is high – Lend to younger and older self
  • Then reduce savings in later life when income is low – Borrow from your younger self

 
Practically, debt you incur when you are young to gain assets from education to durable goods such as a house should be seen as an investment. For example, if you were to purchase a house via a mortgage and pay it off over 20 or 30 years. The benefit of the house will also transfer to you when in retirement, as you will still be able to occupy it or rent it out for income.
Younger self borrowing from middle-aged self to increase living standard of both young and old self. Life cycle wealth theory implies you should be both a borrower and a lender. By being a borrower when you are young and investing in assets such as education and durable assets. You should be a lender when you are in the peak earning years of middle age. This is achieved by using financial instruments, such as checking accounts, mortgages, student loans, and mutual funds.

Example - Calculate your average life time spend

In terms of real estate liquidity risk is defined as the risk that arises when selling a property timely at a fair price. This risk balloons in times of weak real estate demand. These transactions take months to complete in a normal environment.

If it is a high-quality portfolio, the risk is less, especially if the leverage is low. Having low leverage provides the option of synthetic liquidity, by increasing the debt levels to generate cash. You can then use this cash as a bridge finance while they sell the property. This naturally brings other forms of risk.

 

Real Estate Development Risk

Real estate development is extremely complex that sets it apart from normal real estate investing primarily because of two factors. Firstly, a new asset is being created, secondly during the lifetime of the development one must deal with high levels of uncertainty around the revenue potential and the ultimate cost of the development.

This process entails broadly these phases, each with its own unique risks:

  • The acquisition of land
  • Estimation of the marketing potential and profitability
  • Development of building program and design
  • Procuring public approvals and permits
  • Raising finance
  • Constructing the project
  • Leasing, managing and final sale of the property.

There are multiple methods to value property such as the income approach, valuation based on comparable sale prices, the profit approach, replacement cost etc. You need to understand the nuance of the different valuation methods and the assumptions they are based on. This is a critical area that can have dire consequences with a ripple effect on the investment strategy of the investor. Especially where debt is used and lenders have strict covenants, valuation change can cause a breach of these covenants.

You need to clearly articulate the country's risk, even within your own country. There is the political and social environment to consider, especially around sentiment on rule of law and property rights. Country risk is one of the primary drivers of funding costs, spikes in country risk directly affects the viability of many property projects over the long run.